EdgeTake

C · PIT

Endy Rodríguez — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
11
Runs
7
Per Game
0.64
Projection
0.4
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Endy Rodríguez (PIT) has averaged 0.64 runs per game across 11 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.7. 55% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.4, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +140 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -190 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Endy Rodríguez went over in 6 of 11 2026 games.

Our projection 0.4 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.1.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/1155%
1.51/119%

Share of 2026 games Rodríguez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.70
Season avg
0.64

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
0.60
Away (6)
0.67
Home edge
-0.07

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-05-14vs COL0Under
2026-05-15vs PHI1Over
2026-05-19vs STL0Under
2026-05-20vs STL1Over
2026-05-22vs TOR0Under
2026-05-23vs TOR0Under
2026-05-24vs TOR1Over
2026-05-27vs CHC1Over
2026-05-29vs MIN0Under
2026-05-30vs MIN1Over
2026-06-03vs HOU2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Endy Rodríguez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.