EdgeTake

2B · TOR

Ernie Clement — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Home Runs
5
Per Game
0.08
Projection
0.08
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 60 games this season, Ernie Clement (TOR) is averaging 0.08 home runs per game, trending up to 0.2 across the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 8% of games. We project 0.08, short of the 1.39 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +950 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Ernie Clement went over in 5 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 0.08 vs market line 1.39 — edge -1.31.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/608%

Share of 2026 games Clement finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.08

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
0.13
Away (30)
0.03
Home edge
+0.10

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATH0Under
2026-03-28vs ATH0Under
2026-03-29vs ATH0Under
2026-03-30vs COL0Under
2026-03-31vs COL0Under
2026-04-01vs COL0Under
2026-04-02vs CWS0Under
2026-04-04vs CWS0Under
2026-04-05vs CWS0Under
2026-04-06vs LAD0Under
2026-04-07vs LAD0Under
2026-04-08vs LAD0Under
2026-04-10vs MIN0Under
2026-04-11vs MIN0Under
2026-04-12vs MIN0Under
2026-04-14vs MIL0Under
2026-04-15vs MIL0Under
2026-04-16vs MIL0Under
2026-04-18vs AZ0Under
2026-04-19vs AZ0Under
2026-04-19vs AZ0Under
2026-04-21vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs LAA0Under
2026-04-24vs CLE0Under
2026-04-25vs CLE0Under
2026-04-26vs CLE0Under
2026-04-27vs BOS0Under
2026-04-28vs BOS0Under
2026-04-29vs BOS1Over
2026-04-30vs MIN0Under
2026-05-02vs MIN0Under
2026-05-03vs MIN0Under
2026-05-04vs TB0Under
2026-05-05vs TB0Under
2026-05-06vs TB0Under
2026-05-08vs LAA0Under
2026-05-09vs LAA1Over
2026-05-10vs LAA0Under
2026-05-11vs TB0Under
2026-05-12vs TB0Under
2026-05-13vs TB0Under
2026-05-15vs DET0Under
2026-05-16vs DET0Under
2026-05-17vs DET0Under
2026-05-18vs NYY1Over
2026-05-19vs NYY0Under
2026-05-20vs NYY0Under
2026-05-21vs NYY0Under
2026-05-22vs PIT0Under
2026-05-23vs PIT0Under
2026-05-24vs PIT0Under
2026-05-25vs MIA1Over
2026-05-26vs MIA1Over
2026-05-27vs MIA0Under
2026-05-28vs BAL0Under
2026-05-29vs BAL0Under
2026-05-30vs BAL0Under
2026-05-31vs BAL0Under
2026-06-02vs ATL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ernie Clement’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.