EdgeTake

RF · MIA

Esteury Ruiz — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
20
Home Runs
2
Per Game
0.10
Projection
0.1
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Esteury Ruiz (MIA) sits at 0.1 home runs per game through 20 games, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. 10% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.1 comes in under the market line of 1.

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +950 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Esteury Ruiz went over in 2 of 20 2026 games.

Our projection 0.1 vs market line 1 — edge -0.9.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/2010%

Share of 2026 games Ruiz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.10

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
0.09
Away (9)
0.11
Home edge
-0.02

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD1Over
2026-05-02vs PHI0Under
2026-05-03vs PHI1Over
2026-05-04vs PHI0Under
2026-05-07vs BAL0Under
2026-05-08vs WSH0Under
2026-05-09vs WSH0Under
2026-05-14vs MIN0Under
2026-05-15vs TB0Under
2026-05-16vs TB0Under
2026-05-18vs ATL0Under
2026-05-19vs ATL0Under
2026-05-20vs ATL0Under
2026-05-21vs ATL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYM0Under
2026-05-25vs TOR0Under
2026-05-27vs TOR0Under
2026-05-31vs NYM0Under
2026-06-01vs WSH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Esteury Ruiz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.