EdgeTake

RF · MIA

Esteury Ruiz — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
20
Runs
8
Per Game
0.40
Projection
0.4
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Esteury Ruiz (MIA) has averaged 0.4 runs per game across 20 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.4 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 35% of those games. Our projection of 0.4 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +206 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -295 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Esteury Ruiz went over in 7 of 20 2026 games.

Our projection 0.4 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.1.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/2035%
1.51/205%

Share of 2026 games Ruiz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.40

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
0.55
Away (9)
0.22
Home edge
+0.32

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD1Over
2026-05-02vs PHI1Over
2026-05-03vs PHI1Over
2026-05-04vs PHI0Under
2026-05-07vs BAL0Under
2026-05-08vs WSH0Under
2026-05-09vs WSH1Over
2026-05-14vs MIN0Under
2026-05-15vs TB0Under
2026-05-16vs TB1Over
2026-05-18vs ATL0Under
2026-05-19vs ATL1Over
2026-05-20vs ATL0Under
2026-05-21vs ATL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYM2Over
2026-05-25vs TOR0Under
2026-05-27vs TOR0Under
2026-05-31vs NYM0Under
2026-06-01vs WSH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Esteury Ruiz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.