EdgeTake

DH · CIN

Eugenio Suárez — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
35
Runs
13
Per Game
0.37
Projection
0.49
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Eugenio Suárez (CIN) sits at 0.37 runs per game through 35 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.3. They've gone over 0.5 in 31% of those games. Our model projects 0.49, roughly in line with the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +110 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -139 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Eugenio Suárez went over in 11 of 35 2026 games.

Our projection 0.49 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.01.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.511/3531%
1.52/356%

Share of 2026 games Suárez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.37

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (19)
0.32
Away (16)
0.44
Home edge
-0.12

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs BOS0Under
2026-03-28vs BOS0Under
2026-03-29vs BOS1Over
2026-03-30vs PIT1Over
2026-03-31vs PIT0Under
2026-04-01vs PIT1Over
2026-04-03vs TEX1Over
2026-04-04vs TEX0Under
2026-04-05vs TEX0Under
2026-04-06vs MIA0Under
2026-04-07vs MIA0Under
2026-04-08vs MIA0Under
2026-04-09vs MIA0Under
2026-04-10vs LAA0Under
2026-04-11vs LAA1Over
2026-04-12vs LAA0Under
2026-04-14vs SF0Under
2026-04-15vs SF1Over
2026-04-16vs SF0Under
2026-04-18vs MIN0Under
2026-04-18vs MIN2Over
2026-04-19vs MIN1Over
2026-04-20vs TB1Over
2026-04-21vs TB0Under
2026-04-22vs TB0Under
2026-05-22vs STL0Under
2026-05-23vs STL0Under
2026-05-25vs NYM2Over
2026-05-26vs NYM0Under
2026-05-27vs NYM0Under
2026-05-29vs ATL0Under
2026-05-30vs ATL0Under
2026-05-31vs ATL1Over
2026-06-01vs KC0Under
2026-06-02vs KC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Eugenio Suárez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.