EdgeTake

CF · TEX

Evan Carter — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Total Bases
58
Per Game
1.00
Projection
1.25
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 58 games this season, Evan Carter (TEX) is averaging 1 total bases per game, trending up to 1.4 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 43% of games this season. Our projection of 1.25 sits above the market line of 0.95.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -145 at Caesars — model 57% to hit, -3.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -145 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +110 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Evan Carter went over in 25 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 1.25 vs market line 0.95 — edge +0.3.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.525/5843%
1.514/5824%
2.58/5814%
3.56/5810%

Share of 2026 games Carter finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.40
Season avg
1.00

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
1.12
Away (32)
0.91
Home edge
+0.21

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs PHI0Under
2026-03-28vs PHI1Over
2026-03-29vs PHI0Under
2026-03-30vs BAL3Over
2026-03-31vs BAL2Over
2026-04-01vs BAL0Under
2026-04-03vs CIN2Over
2026-04-04vs CIN1Over
2026-04-05vs CIN1Over
2026-04-07vs SEA0Under
2026-04-08vs SEA1Over
2026-04-08vs SEA0Under
2026-04-11vs LAD4Over
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD4Over
2026-04-14vs ATH0Under
2026-04-15vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH0Under
2026-04-18vs SEA1Over
2026-04-18vs SEA0Under
2026-04-19vs SEA2Over
2026-04-22vs PIT1Over
2026-04-23vs PIT1Over
2026-04-24vs PIT5Over
2026-04-25vs ATH1Over
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-26vs ATH0Under
2026-04-28vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-05-01vs DET0Under
2026-05-02vs DET0Under
2026-05-03vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs NYY2Over
2026-05-06vs NYY4Over
2026-05-07vs NYY1Over
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-10vs CHC4Over
2026-05-12vs AZ0Under
2026-05-13vs AZ0Under
2026-05-14vs AZ2Over
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-17vs HOU0Under
2026-05-19vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs COL1Over
2026-05-20vs COL0Under
2026-05-23vs LAA3Over
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-25vs HOU0Under
2026-05-27vs HOU8Over
2026-05-28vs HOU0Under
2026-05-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs KC2Over
2026-06-01vs STL0Under
2026-06-02vs STL1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Evan Carter’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.