EdgeTake

2B · TEX

Ezequiel Duran — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
51
Total Bases
79
Per Game
1.55
Projection
1.68
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Ezequiel Duran (TEX) sits at 1.55 total bases per game through 51 games, with the last 10 steady at 1.5. The over on 1.5 has hit in 41% of games. Our model projects 1.68, a step above the market line of 1.21.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +140 at BetRivers — model 40% to hit, -3.8% EV.

Over 1.5 +140 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -190 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Ezequiel Duran went over in 21 of 51 2026 games.

Our projection 1.68 vs market line 1.21 — edge +0.47.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.535/5169%
1.521/5141%
2.513/5125%
3.58/5116%

Share of 2026 games Duran finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.50
Season avg
1.55

Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
1.27
Away (29)
1.76
Home edge
-0.49

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs PHI0Under
2026-03-29vs PHI2Over
2026-03-31vs BAL4Over
2026-04-01vs BAL1Under
2026-04-05vs CIN0Under
2026-04-08vs SEA1Under
2026-04-08vs SEA1Under
2026-04-11vs LAD1Under
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD1Under
2026-04-14vs ATH1Under
2026-04-15vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH0Under
2026-04-16vs ATH3Over
2026-04-18vs SEA4Over
2026-04-22vs PIT2Over
2026-04-23vs PIT0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-28vs NYY1Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY3Over
2026-05-01vs DET0Under
2026-05-02vs DET1Under
2026-05-03vs DET2Over
2026-05-05vs NYY5Over
2026-05-06vs NYY2Over
2026-05-07vs NYY4Over
2026-05-09vs CHC1Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-10vs CHC1Under
2026-05-12vs AZ1Under
2026-05-13vs AZ4Over
2026-05-14vs AZ2Over
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU1Under
2026-05-17vs HOU2Over
2026-05-19vs COL3Over
2026-05-20vs COL5Over
2026-05-20vs COL4Over
2026-05-23vs LAA0Under
2026-05-24vs LAA1Under
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-25vs HOU0Under
2026-05-27vs HOU3Over
2026-05-28vs HOU0Under
2026-05-29vs HOU2Over
2026-05-30vs KC2Over
2026-05-30vs KC1Under
2026-05-31vs KC3Over
2026-06-01vs STL4Over
2026-06-02vs STL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ezequiel Duran’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.