EdgeTake

SS · COL

Ezequiel Tovar — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Hits
44
Per Game
0.76
Projection
0.69
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ezequiel Tovar (COL) has averaged 0.76 hits per game across 58 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.8 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 60% of games this season. We project 0.69, short of the 0.77 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -180 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Ezequiel Tovar went over in 35 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 0.69 vs market line 0.77 — edge -0.08.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.535/5860%
1.58/5814%
2.51/582%

Share of 2026 games Tovar finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.76

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (25)
0.60
Away (33)
0.88
Home edge
-0.28

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs MIA1Over
2026-03-28vs MIA1Over
2026-03-29vs MIA1Over
2026-03-30vs TOR3Over
2026-03-31vs TOR1Over
2026-04-01vs TOR1Over
2026-04-03vs PHI1Over
2026-04-05vs PHI1Over
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU2Over
2026-04-10vs SD2Over
2026-04-11vs SD1Over
2026-04-12vs SD1Over
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-15vs HOU1Over
2026-04-16vs HOU0Under
2026-04-17vs HOU0Under
2026-04-18vs LAD1Over
2026-04-19vs LAD1Over
2026-04-19vs LAD0Under
2026-04-21vs LAD0Under
2026-04-22vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-24vs NYM2Over
2026-04-25vs NYM0Under
2026-04-26vs NYM0Under
2026-04-28vs CIN0Under
2026-04-29vs CIN1Over
2026-04-30vs CIN1Over
2026-05-02vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL1Over
2026-05-04vs NYM0Under
2026-05-07vs NYM0Under
2026-05-08vs PHI1Over
2026-05-10vs PHI2Over
2026-05-12vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs PIT1Over
2026-05-14vs PIT1Over
2026-05-16vs AZ1Over
2026-05-16vs AZ1Over
2026-05-19vs TEX1Over
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX1Over
2026-05-22vs AZ1Over
2026-05-23vs AZ2Over
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ1Over
2026-05-26vs LAD2Over
2026-05-27vs LAD1Over
2026-05-28vs LAD0Under
2026-05-30vs SF2Over
2026-05-31vs SF1Over
2026-05-31vs SF1Over
2026-06-02vs LAA0Under
2026-06-03vs LAA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ezequiel Tovar’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.