EdgeTake

SS · COL

Ezequiel Tovar — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Total Bases
67
Per Game
1.16
Projection
1.13
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Ezequiel Tovar (COL) has averaged 1.16 total bases per game across 58 games this season, trending up to 1.7 across the last 10. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 24% of games this season. We project 1.13, short of the 1.23 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 1.5 +165 BetRivers

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Ezequiel Tovar went over in 14 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 1.13 vs market line 1.23 — edge -0.1.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.535/5860%
1.514/5824%
2.56/5810%
3.56/5810%

Share of 2026 games Tovar finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.70
Season avg
1.16

Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (25)
1.04
Away (33)
1.24
Home edge
-0.20

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs MIA1Under
2026-03-28vs MIA4Over
2026-03-29vs MIA1Under
2026-03-30vs TOR5Over
2026-03-31vs TOR1Under
2026-04-01vs TOR1Under
2026-04-03vs PHI1Under
2026-04-05vs PHI1Under
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU4Over
2026-04-10vs SD4Over
2026-04-11vs SD1Under
2026-04-12vs SD2Over
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-15vs HOU1Under
2026-04-16vs HOU0Under
2026-04-17vs HOU0Under
2026-04-18vs LAD2Over
2026-04-19vs LAD1Under
2026-04-19vs LAD0Under
2026-04-21vs LAD0Under
2026-04-22vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-24vs NYM2Over
2026-04-25vs NYM0Under
2026-04-26vs NYM0Under
2026-04-28vs CIN0Under
2026-04-29vs CIN1Under
2026-04-30vs CIN1Under
2026-05-02vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL1Under
2026-05-04vs NYM0Under
2026-05-07vs NYM0Under
2026-05-08vs PHI1Under
2026-05-10vs PHI2Over
2026-05-12vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs PIT1Under
2026-05-14vs PIT1Under
2026-05-16vs AZ2Over
2026-05-16vs AZ1Under
2026-05-19vs TEX2Over
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX1Under
2026-05-22vs AZ2Over
2026-05-23vs AZ2Over
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ1Under
2026-05-26vs LAD5Over
2026-05-27vs LAD1Under
2026-05-28vs LAD0Under
2026-05-30vs SF8Over
2026-05-31vs SF1Under
2026-05-31vs SF1Under
2026-06-02vs LAA0Under
2026-06-03vs LAA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ezequiel Tovar’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.