RF · SD
Fernando Tatis Jr. — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 58 games this season, Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) is averaging 1.24 total bases per game, with recent form ahead of that at 2.2 over the last 10. 33% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our model projects 1.79, a step above the market line of 1.53.
Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 1.5 +145 at BetMGM — model 41% to hit, +1.1% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (betmgm), Fernando Tatis Jr. went over in 19 of 58 2026 games.
Our projection 1.79 vs market line 1.53 — edge +0.26.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 40/58 | 69% |
| 1.5 | 19/58 | 33% |
| 2.5 | 6/58 | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5/58 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SF | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CWS | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs WSH | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs PHI | 4 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Fernando Tatis Jr.’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.