EdgeTake

1B · LAD

Freddie Freeman — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Runs
30
Per Game
0.52
Projection
0.67
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Freddie Freeman (LAD) sits at 0.52 runs per game through 58 games, with recent form ahead of that at 1.1 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 43% of games this season. We project 0.67, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -110 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -120 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Freddie Freeman went over in 25 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 0.67 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.17.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.525/5843%
1.54/587%

Share of 2026 games Freeman finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
0.52

Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.45
Away (27)
0.59
Home edge
-0.14

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs AZ0Under
2026-03-28vs AZ0Under
2026-03-29vs AZ0Under
2026-03-31vs CLE0Under
2026-04-01vs CLE1Over
2026-04-02vs CLE1Over
2026-04-03vs WSH1Over
2026-04-04vs WSH0Under
2026-04-05vs WSH1Over
2026-04-06vs TOR2Over
2026-04-07vs TOR0Under
2026-04-08vs TOR0Under
2026-04-11vs TEX0Under
2026-04-12vs TEX1Over
2026-04-12vs TEX0Under
2026-04-14vs NYM1Over
2026-04-15vs NYM0Under
2026-04-16vs NYM0Under
2026-04-18vs COL1Over
2026-04-19vs COL0Under
2026-04-22vs SF0Under
2026-04-23vs SF0Under
2026-04-23vs SF0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC1Over
2026-04-26vs CHC0Under
2026-04-28vs MIA1Over
2026-04-29vs MIA0Under
2026-04-29vs MIA0Under
2026-05-02vs STL1Over
2026-05-02vs STL0Under
2026-05-03vs STL0Under
2026-05-05vs HOU0Under
2026-05-06vs HOU0Under
2026-05-06vs HOU1Over
2026-05-09vs ATL1Over
2026-05-10vs ATL0Under
2026-05-10vs ATL0Under
2026-05-12vs SF1Over
2026-05-13vs SF0Under
2026-05-14vs SF0Under
2026-05-15vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs LAA1Over
2026-05-17vs LAA1Over
2026-05-19vs SD0Under
2026-05-20vs SD2Over
2026-05-21vs SD0Under
2026-05-22vs MIL0Under
2026-05-23vs MIL3Over
2026-05-24vs MIL1Over
2026-05-26vs COL1Over
2026-05-27vs COL2Over
2026-05-28vs COL1Over
2026-05-30vs PHI1Over
2026-05-31vs PHI0Under
2026-05-31vs PHI1Over
2026-06-02vs AZ0Under
2026-06-03vs AZ1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Freddie Freeman’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.