EdgeTake

1B · LAD

Freddie Freeman — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Total Bases
104
Per Game
1.79
Projection
2.16
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 58 games this season, Freddie Freeman (LAD) is averaging 1.79 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 2.3. 45% of those games have finished over 1.5. We project 2.16, ahead of the 1.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +105 at BetMGM — model 48% to hit, -1.2% EV.

Over 1.5 +105 BetMGMUnder 1.5 -125 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Freddie Freeman went over in 26 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 2.16 vs market line 1.5 — edge +0.66.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.540/5869%
1.526/5845%
2.517/5829%
3.512/5821%

Share of 2026 games Freeman finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.30
Season avg
1.79

Over 1.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
1.42
Away (27)
2.22
Home edge
-0.80

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs AZ0Under
2026-03-28vs AZ0Under
2026-03-29vs AZ4Over
2026-03-31vs CLE0Under
2026-04-01vs CLE1Under
2026-04-02vs CLE4Over
2026-04-03vs WSH4Over
2026-04-04vs WSH4Over
2026-04-05vs WSH1Under
2026-04-06vs TOR6Over
2026-04-07vs TOR1Under
2026-04-08vs TOR2Over
2026-04-11vs TEX0Under
2026-04-12vs TEX1Under
2026-04-12vs TEX1Under
2026-04-14vs NYM3Over
2026-04-15vs NYM0Under
2026-04-16vs NYM3Over
2026-04-18vs COL3Over
2026-04-19vs COL4Over
2026-04-22vs SF0Under
2026-04-23vs SF2Over
2026-04-23vs SF1Under
2026-04-25vs CHC0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC1Under
2026-04-26vs CHC0Under
2026-04-28vs MIA1Under
2026-04-29vs MIA1Under
2026-04-29vs MIA0Under
2026-05-02vs STL2Over
2026-05-02vs STL1Under
2026-05-03vs STL3Over
2026-05-05vs HOU2Over
2026-05-06vs HOU2Over
2026-05-06vs HOU2Over
2026-05-09vs ATL4Over
2026-05-10vs ATL0Under
2026-05-10vs ATL0Under
2026-05-12vs SF3Over
2026-05-13vs SF1Under
2026-05-14vs SF1Under
2026-05-15vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs LAA0Under
2026-05-17vs LAA0Under
2026-05-19vs SD0Under
2026-05-20vs SD8Over
2026-05-21vs SD4Over
2026-05-22vs MIL0Under
2026-05-23vs MIL2Over
2026-05-24vs MIL0Under
2026-05-26vs COL2Over
2026-05-27vs COL2Over
2026-05-28vs COL5Over
2026-05-30vs PHI4Over
2026-05-31vs PHI1Under
2026-05-31vs PHI1Under
2026-06-02vs AZ0Under
2026-06-03vs AZ6Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Freddie Freeman’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.