C · SD
Freddy Fermin — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 33 games this season, Freddy Fermin (SD) is averaging 0.39 hits per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 33% of games this season. We project 0.5, short of the 0.61 market line.
Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +105 at BetMGM — model 53% to hit, +9.1% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Freddy Fermin went over in 11 of 33 2026 games.
Our projection 0.5 vs market line 0.61 — edge -0.11.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 11/33 | 33% |
| 1.5 | 2/33 | 6% |
| 2.5 | 0/33 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Fermin finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Freddy Fermin’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.