C · SD
Freddy Fermin — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 33 games this season, Freddy Fermin (SD) is averaging 0.52 total bases per game, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 33% of games this season. We project 0.91, short of the 0.95 market line.
Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +105 at BetMGM — model 48% to hit, -1.7% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Freddy Fermin went over in 11 of 33 2026 games.
Our projection 0.91 vs market line 0.95 — edge -0.04.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 11/33 | 33% |
| 1.5 | 5/33 | 15% |
| 2.5 | 1/33 | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0/33 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Fermin finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Freddy Fermin’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.