EdgeTake

SS · CLE

Gabriel Arias — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
10
Runs
2
Per Game
0.20
Projection
0.31
Current Line
Next matchup

Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/1020%
1.50/100%

Share of 2026 games Arias finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.20

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.25
Away (6)
0.17
Home edge
+0.08

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRuns
2026-03-27vs SEA0
2026-03-28vs SEA0
2026-03-29vs SEA0
2026-03-31vs LAD0
2026-04-01vs LAD0
2026-04-02vs LAD1
2026-04-03vs CHC1
2026-04-04vs CHC0
2026-04-05vs CHC0
2026-04-06vs KC0

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Gabriel Arias’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.