C · AZ
Gabriel Moreno — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 37 games this season, Gabriel Moreno (AZ) is averaging 0.51 runs per game, trending up to 0.6 across the last 10. 43% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.49 lands right around the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Gabriel Moreno went over in 16 of 37 2026 games.
Our projection 0.49 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.01.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 16/37 | 43% |
| 1.5 | 3/37 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Moreno finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Gabriel Moreno’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.