EdgeTake

C · AZ

Gabriel Moreno — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
37
Total Bases
49
Per Game
1.32
Projection
1.29
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Gabriel Moreno (AZ) has averaged 1.32 total bases per game across 37 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 1.3. The over on 1.5 has hit in 38% of games. We project 1.29, short of the 1.36 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -150 at BetMGM — model 58% to hit, -3.9% EV.

Over 0.5 -150 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +110 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Gabriel Moreno went over in 14 of 37 2026 games.

Our projection 1.29 vs market line 1.36 — edge -0.07.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.519/3751%
1.514/3738%
2.510/3727%
3.55/3714%

Share of 2026 games Moreno finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.30
Season avg
1.32

Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (19)
0.95
Away (18)
1.72
Home edge
-0.77

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs LAD0Under
2026-03-28vs LAD2Over
2026-03-31vs DET3Over
2026-04-01vs DET2Over
2026-04-01vs DET0Under
2026-04-03vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs ATL2Over
2026-04-05vs ATL0Under
2026-04-07vs NYM3Over
2026-04-08vs NYM0Under
2026-04-09vs NYM4Over
2026-04-10vs PHI0Under
2026-05-01vs CHC0Under
2026-05-03vs CHC4Over
2026-05-06vs PIT3Over
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM0Under
2026-05-12vs TEX0Under
2026-05-13vs TEX0Under
2026-05-14vs TEX2Over
2026-05-16vs COL3Over
2026-05-17vs COL3Over
2026-05-19vs SF5Over
2026-05-20vs SF0Under
2026-05-22vs COL1Under
2026-05-23vs COL0Under
2026-05-24vs COL1Under
2026-05-25vs SF4Over
2026-05-27vs SF1Under
2026-05-30vs SEA4Over
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA1Under
2026-06-02vs LAD0Under
2026-06-03vs LAD1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Gabriel Moreno’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.