CF · MIL
Garrett Mitchell — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 50 games this season, Garrett Mitchell (MIL) is averaging 0.44 runs per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.4. The over on 0.5 has hit in 38% of games. We project 0.54, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Garrett Mitchell went over in 19 of 50 2026 games.
Our projection 0.54 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.04.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 19/50 | 38% |
| 1.5 | 2/50 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Mitchell finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Garrett Mitchell’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.