EdgeTake

1B · SD

Gavin Sheets — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
53
Hits
41
Per Game
0.77
Projection
1.05
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Gavin Sheets (SD) has averaged 0.77 hits per game across 53 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.8. 57% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 1.05, ahead of the 0.64 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -155 at BetMGM — model 61% to hit, +0.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -155 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +115 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Gavin Sheets went over in 30 of 53 2026 games.

Our projection 1.05 vs market line 0.64 — edge +0.41.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.530/5357%
1.510/5319%
2.51/532%

Share of 2026 games Sheets finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.77

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
0.59
Away (26)
0.96
Home edge
-0.37

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs DET0Under
2026-03-28vs DET0Under
2026-03-29vs DET0Under
2026-03-31vs SF0Under
2026-04-01vs SF1Over
2026-04-01vs SF2Over
2026-04-03vs BOS2Over
2026-04-05vs BOS1Over
2026-04-06vs PIT0Under
2026-04-07vs PIT0Under
2026-04-08vs PIT1Over
2026-04-10vs COL2Over
2026-04-11vs COL2Over
2026-04-12vs COL0Under
2026-04-15vs SEA0Under
2026-04-16vs SEA2Over
2026-04-17vs SEA1Over
2026-04-18vs LAA1Over
2026-04-19vs LAA0Under
2026-04-19vs LAA1Over
2026-04-22vs COL0Under
2026-04-23vs COL0Under
2026-04-23vs COL1Over
2026-04-25vs AZ1Over
2026-04-26vs AZ1Over
2026-04-28vs CHC1Over
2026-04-29vs CHC0Under
2026-05-03vs CWS0Under
2026-05-03vs CWS0Under
2026-05-05vs SF0Under
2026-05-06vs SF2Over
2026-05-06vs SF1Over
2026-05-09vs STL0Under
2026-05-09vs STL0Under
2026-05-10vs STL0Under
2026-05-12vs MIL1Over
2026-05-13vs MIL2Over
2026-05-14vs MIL1Over
2026-05-16vs SEA2Over
2026-05-16vs SEA1Over
2026-05-17vs SEA3Over
2026-05-19vs LAD0Under
2026-05-20vs LAD0Under
2026-05-21vs LAD1Over
2026-05-23vs ATH1Over
2026-05-24vs ATH1Over
2026-05-24vs ATH1Over
2026-05-27vs PHI1Over
2026-05-27vs PHI0Under
2026-05-29vs WSH2Over
2026-05-30vs WSH0Under
2026-05-31vs WSH0Under
2026-06-02vs PHI1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Gavin Sheets’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.