3B · MIA
Graham Pauley — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Graham Pauley (MIA) sits at 0.74 total bases per game through 31 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.1 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 39% of games this season. Our model projects 0.93, a step above the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 -110 at BetMGM — model 49% to hit, -5.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Graham Pauley went over in 12 of 31 2026 games.
Our projection 0.93 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.43.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 12/31 | 39% |
| 1.5 | 7/31 | 23% |
| 2.5 | 2/31 | 6% |
| 3.5 | 2/31 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Pauley finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CWS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SF | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Graham Pauley’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.