EdgeTake

2B · DET

Hao-Yu Lee — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
31
Hits
17
Per Game
0.55
Projection
0.68
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 31 games this season, Hao-Yu Lee (DET) is averaging 0.55 hits per game, tracking close to that at 0.6 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 42% of games this season. We project 0.68, short of the 0.75 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +108 at DraftKings — model 48% to hit, +0.5% EV.

Over 0.5 -130 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +108 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Hao-Yu Lee went over in 13 of 31 2026 games.

Our projection 0.68 vs market line 0.75 — edge -0.07.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.513/3142%
1.54/3113%
2.50/310%

Share of 2026 games Lee finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.55

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (13)
0.38
Away (18)
0.67
Home edge
-0.28

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-17vs BOS0Under
2026-04-19vs BOS0Under
2026-04-20vs BOS2Over
2026-04-21vs MIL1Over
2026-04-24vs CIN0Under
2026-04-25vs CIN0Under
2026-04-26vs CIN1Over
2026-04-28vs ATL1Over
2026-04-30vs ATL0Under
2026-05-01vs TEX1Over
2026-05-02vs TEX0Under
2026-05-03vs TEX1Over
2026-05-04vs BOS0Under
2026-05-05vs BOS0Under
2026-05-08vs KC0Under
2026-05-09vs KC0Under
2026-05-10vs KC1Over
2026-05-12vs NYM2Over
2026-05-15vs TOR0Under
2026-05-16vs TOR0Under
2026-05-19vs CLE1Over
2026-05-20vs CLE1Over
2026-05-21vs CLE0Under
2026-05-22vs BAL2Over
2026-05-23vs BAL0Under
2026-05-26vs LAA0Under
2026-05-27vs LAA0Under
2026-05-29vs CWS0Under
2026-05-30vs CWS1Over
2026-05-31vs CWS0Under
2026-06-01vs TB2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Hao-Yu Lee’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.