CF · SF
Harrison Bader — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Harrison Bader (SF) sits at 0.6 hits per game through 30 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.7. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 50% of games this season. We project 0.55, short of the 0.76 market line.
Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -220 at BetMGM — model 54% to hit, -22.1% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Harrison Bader went over in 15 of 30 2026 games.
Our projection 0.55 vs market line 0.76 — edge -0.21.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 15/30 | 50% |
| 1.5 | 3/30 | 10% |
| 2.5 | 0/30 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Bader finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Harrison Bader’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.