CF · SF
Harrison Bader — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Harrison Bader (SF) sits at 1.27 total bases per game through 30 games, with the last 10 steady at 1.3. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 30% of games this season. We project 1.15, about even with the market line of 1.16.
Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -162 at Caesars — model 65% to hit, +4.7% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Harrison Bader went over in 9 of 30 2026 games.
Our projection 1.15 vs market line 1.16 — edge -0.01.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 15/30 | 50% |
| 1.5 | 9/30 | 30% |
| 2.5 | 6/30 | 20% |
| 3.5 | 6/30 | 20% |
Share of 2026 games Bader finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs LAD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATH | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs AZ | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Harrison Bader’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.