EdgeTake

C · NYM

Hayden Senger — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
7
Runs
2
Per Game
0.29
Projection
0.36
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 7 games this season, Hayden Senger (NYM) is averaging 0.29 runs per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.29. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 29% of games this season. Our model projects 0.36, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ SD — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +256 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -373 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Hayden Senger went over in 2 of 7 2026 games.

Our projection 0.36 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.14.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/729%
1.50/70%

Share of 2026 games Senger finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 7 avg
0.29
Season avg
0.29

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 7 games.

Home / away splits

Home (3)
0.33
Away (4)
0.25
Home edge
+0.08

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-05-14vs DET0Under
2026-05-17vs NYY0Under
2026-05-18vs WSH1Over
2026-05-20vs WSH0Under
2026-05-24vs MIA0Under
2026-05-30vs MIA1Over
2026-06-03vs SEA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Hayden Senger’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.