EdgeTake

C · PIT

Henry Davis — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
36
Hits
16
Per Game
0.44
Projection
0.38
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 36 games this season, Henry Davis (PIT) is averaging 0.44 hits per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.3. 36% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.38 comes in under the market line of 0.64.

Next matchup

Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -132 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Henry Davis went over in 13 of 36 2026 games.

Our projection 0.38 vs market line 0.64 — edge -0.26.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.513/3636%
1.53/368%
2.50/360%

Share of 2026 games Davis finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.44

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (21)
0.52
Away (15)
0.33
Home edge
+0.19

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs NYM1Over
2026-03-28vs NYM0Under
2026-03-29vs NYM1Over
2026-03-30vs CIN0Under
2026-04-01vs CIN0Under
2026-04-03vs BAL1Over
2026-04-05vs BAL1Over
2026-04-06vs SD0Under
2026-04-07vs SD2Over
2026-04-11vs CHC0Under
2026-04-13vs WSH2Over
2026-04-15vs WSH0Under
2026-04-17vs TB0Under
2026-04-18vs TB0Under
2026-04-22vs TEX0Under
2026-04-23vs TEX0Under
2026-04-24vs MIL1Over
2026-04-25vs MIL0Under
2026-04-27vs STL1Over
2026-04-28vs STL0Under
2026-04-30vs STL0Under
2026-05-01vs CIN2Over
2026-05-02vs CIN0Under
2026-05-07vs AZ0Under
2026-05-10vs SF1Over
2026-05-12vs COL0Under
2026-05-13vs COL0Under
2026-05-16vs PHI0Under
2026-05-17vs PHI0Under
2026-05-19vs STL0Under
2026-05-21vs STL1Over
2026-05-23vs TOR0Under
2026-05-25vs CHC1Over
2026-05-26vs CHC0Under
2026-05-28vs CHC0Under
2026-05-31vs MIN1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Henry Davis’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.