C · PIT
Henry Davis — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Henry Davis (PIT) sits at 0.11 home runs per game through 36 games, trending up to 0.2 across the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 8% of those games. Our model projects 0.09, below the market line of 0.71.
Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Henry Davis went over in 3 of 36 2026 games.
Our projection 0.09 vs market line 0.71 — edge -0.62.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/36 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Davis finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Henry Davis’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.