LF · MIA

Heriberto Hernández — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games

Home Runs

Per Game

0.14

Projection

0.17

Current Line

—

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Hit rate at common lines

Over	Cleared	Rate
0.5	4/37	11%

Share of 2026 games Hernández finished above each line.

Last 10 avg

0.40

Season avg

0.14

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home (19)

0.05

Away (18)

0.22

Home edge

-0.17

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Heriberto Hernández’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated Jun 3, 7:51 PM ET. Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.