EdgeTake

LF · CHC

Ian Happ — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
57
Hits
49
Per Game
0.86
Projection
0.77
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 57 games this season, Ian Happ (CHC) is averaging 0.86 hits per game, trending up to 1.1 across the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 56% of those games. We project 0.77, ahead of the 0.6 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +130 at Fanatics — model 44% to hit, +1.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -150 FanaticsUnder 0.5 +130 Fanatics

At a line of 0.5 (fanatics), Ian Happ went over in 32 of 57 2026 games.

Our projection 0.77 vs market line 0.6 — edge +0.17.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.532/5756%
1.514/5725%
2.53/575%

Share of 2026 games Happ finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
0.86

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (28)
0.86
Away (29)
0.86
Home edge
-0.00

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs WSH1Over
2026-03-28vs WSH1Over
2026-03-29vs WSH1Over
2026-03-30vs LAA1Over
2026-03-31vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs LAA1Over
2026-04-03vs CLE0Under
2026-04-04vs CLE2Over
2026-04-05vs CLE0Under
2026-04-06vs TB1Over
2026-04-10vs PIT2Over
2026-04-11vs PIT0Under
2026-04-12vs PIT0Under
2026-04-13vs PHI2Over
2026-04-14vs PHI2Over
2026-04-15vs PHI0Under
2026-04-17vs NYM1Over
2026-04-18vs NYM1Over
2026-04-19vs NYM2Over
2026-04-20vs PHI1Over
2026-04-21vs PHI1Over
2026-04-22vs PHI1Over
2026-04-23vs PHI2Over
2026-04-25vs LAD1Over
2026-04-25vs LAD0Under
2026-04-26vs LAD0Under
2026-04-28vs SD1Over
2026-04-29vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD1Over
2026-05-01vs AZ0Under
2026-05-02vs AZ3Over
2026-05-03vs AZ1Over
2026-05-04vs CIN0Under
2026-05-05vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs CIN3Over
2026-05-07vs CIN0Under
2026-05-09vs TEX1Over
2026-05-09vs TEX0Under
2026-05-10vs TEX0Under
2026-05-12vs ATL0Under
2026-05-13vs ATL0Under
2026-05-14vs ATL2Over
2026-05-15vs CWS2Over
2026-05-16vs CWS0Under
2026-05-17vs CWS0Under
2026-05-18vs MIL0Under
2026-05-19vs MIL0Under
2026-05-20vs MIL0Under
2026-05-22vs HOU1Over
2026-05-25vs PIT0Under
2026-05-26vs PIT1Over
2026-05-27vs PIT2Over
2026-05-28vs PIT3Over
2026-05-29vs STL2Over
2026-05-30vs STL2Over
2026-05-31vs STL0Under
2026-06-03vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ian Happ’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.