EdgeTake

LF · CHC

Ian Happ — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
57
Total Bases
100
Per Game
1.75
Projection
1.51
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 57 games this season, Ian Happ (CHC) is averaging 1.75 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 2.4. They've gone over 0.5 in 56% of those games. We project 1.51, ahead of the 1.04 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -157 at Caesars — model 60% to hit, -1.2% EV.

Over 0.5 -157 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +117 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Ian Happ went over in 32 of 57 2026 games.

Our projection 1.51 vs market line 1.04 — edge +0.47.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.532/5756%
1.524/5742%
2.516/5728%
3.513/5723%

Share of 2026 games Happ finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.40
Season avg
1.75

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (28)
1.89
Away (29)
1.62
Home edge
+0.27

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs WSH1Over
2026-03-28vs WSH4Over
2026-03-29vs WSH4Over
2026-03-30vs LAA4Over
2026-03-31vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs LAA2Over
2026-04-03vs CLE0Under
2026-04-04vs CLE5Over
2026-04-05vs CLE0Under
2026-04-06vs TB2Over
2026-04-10vs PIT2Over
2026-04-11vs PIT0Under
2026-04-12vs PIT0Under
2026-04-13vs PHI3Over
2026-04-14vs PHI3Over
2026-04-15vs PHI0Under
2026-04-17vs NYM4Over
2026-04-18vs NYM4Over
2026-04-19vs NYM2Over
2026-04-20vs PHI1Over
2026-04-21vs PHI1Over
2026-04-22vs PHI1Over
2026-04-23vs PHI5Over
2026-04-25vs LAD1Over
2026-04-25vs LAD0Under
2026-04-26vs LAD0Under
2026-04-28vs SD1Over
2026-04-29vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD2Over
2026-05-01vs AZ0Under
2026-05-02vs AZ9Over
2026-05-03vs AZ1Over
2026-05-04vs CIN0Under
2026-05-05vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs CIN6Over
2026-05-07vs CIN0Under
2026-05-09vs TEX1Over
2026-05-09vs TEX0Under
2026-05-10vs TEX0Under
2026-05-12vs ATL0Under
2026-05-13vs ATL0Under
2026-05-14vs ATL5Over
2026-05-15vs CWS2Over
2026-05-16vs CWS0Under
2026-05-17vs CWS0Under
2026-05-18vs MIL0Under
2026-05-19vs MIL0Under
2026-05-20vs MIL0Under
2026-05-22vs HOU2Over
2026-05-25vs PIT0Under
2026-05-26vs PIT2Over
2026-05-27vs PIT5Over
2026-05-28vs PIT6Over
2026-05-29vs STL6Over
2026-05-30vs STL3Over
2026-05-31vs STL0Under
2026-06-03vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ian Happ’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.