1B · AZ
Ildemaro Vargas — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Ildemaro Vargas (AZ) has averaged 1.13 hits per game across 53 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.5. They've gone over 0.5 in 75% of those games. Our projection of 0.75 sits above the market line of 0.65.
Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +110 at BetMGM — model 46% to hit, -3.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Ildemaro Vargas went over in 40 of 53 2026 games.
Our projection 0.75 vs market line 0.65 — edge +0.1.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 40/53 | 75% |
| 1.5 | 14/53 | 26% |
| 2.5 | 4/53 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Vargas finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYM | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CHC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ildemaro Vargas’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.