2B · BOS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (BOS) has averaged 0.03 home runs per game across 29 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.1. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 3% of games this season. We project 0.05, short of the 0.88 market line.
Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Isiah Kiner-Falefa went over in 1 of 29 2026 games.
Our projection 0.05 vs market line 0.88 — edge -0.83.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/29 | 3% |
Share of 2026 games Kiner-Falefa finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.