EdgeTake

2B · BOS

Isiah Kiner-Falefa — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
29
Stolen Bases
3
Per Game
0.10
Projection
0.11
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 29 games this season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa (BOS) is averaging 0.1 stolen bases per game, tracking close to that at 0.1 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 10% of those games. Our model projects 0.11, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +580 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Isiah Kiner-Falefa went over in 3 of 29 2026 games.

Our projection 0.11 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.39.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/2910%

Share of 2026 games Kiner-Falefa finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.10

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (14)
0.14
Away (15)
0.07
Home edge
+0.08

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs CIN0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-07vs MIL0Under
2026-04-08vs MIL0Under
2026-04-13vs MIN0Under
2026-04-14vs MIN0Under
2026-04-15vs MIN0Under
2026-04-18vs DET0Under
2026-04-19vs DET0Under
2026-04-20vs DET1Over
2026-04-22vs NYY0Under
2026-04-25vs BAL1Over
2026-04-29vs TOR0Under
2026-05-03vs HOU0Under
2026-05-05vs DET0Under
2026-05-14vs PHI0Under
2026-05-15vs ATL0Under
2026-05-17vs ATL0Under
2026-05-19vs KC0Under
2026-05-20vs KC0Under
2026-05-23vs MIN0Under
2026-05-24vs MIN0Under
2026-05-26vs ATL1Over
2026-05-27vs ATL0Under
2026-05-28vs ATL0Under
2026-05-29vs CLE0Under
2026-05-30vs CLE0Under
2026-05-31vs CLE0Under
2026-06-02vs BAL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.