EdgeTake

2B · BOS

Isiah Kiner-Falefa — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
29
Total Bases
28
Per Game
0.97
Projection
1.42
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 29 games this season, Isiah Kiner-Falefa (BOS) is averaging 0.97 total bases per game, trending up to 1.5 across the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 31% of games. Our projection of 1.42 sits above the market line of 0.78.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +162 at Caesars — model 36% to hit, -6.4% EV.

Over 1.5 +162 CaesarsUnder 1.5 -225 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Isiah Kiner-Falefa went over in 9 of 29 2026 games.

Our projection 1.42 vs market line 0.78 — edge +0.64.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.515/2952%
1.59/2931%
2.52/297%
3.51/293%

Share of 2026 games Kiner-Falefa finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.50
Season avg
0.97

Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (14)
0.86
Away (15)
1.07
Home edge
-0.21

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs CIN0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-07vs MIL0Under
2026-04-08vs MIL1Under
2026-04-13vs MIN0Under
2026-04-14vs MIN1Under
2026-04-15vs MIN2Over
2026-04-18vs DET0Under
2026-04-19vs DET0Under
2026-04-20vs DET1Under
2026-04-22vs NYY0Under
2026-04-25vs BAL2Over
2026-04-29vs TOR1Under
2026-05-03vs HOU0Under
2026-05-05vs DET0Under
2026-05-14vs PHI0Under
2026-05-15vs ATL0Under
2026-05-17vs ATL2Over
2026-05-19vs KC3Over
2026-05-20vs KC0Under
2026-05-23vs MIN0Under
2026-05-24vs MIN2Over
2026-05-26vs ATL5Over
2026-05-27vs ATL1Under
2026-05-28vs ATL2Over
2026-05-29vs CLE2Over
2026-05-30vs CLE2Over
2026-05-31vs CLE1Under
2026-06-02vs BAL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.