EdgeTake

LF · MIL

Jackson Chourio — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
24
Stolen Bases
5
Per Game
0.21
Projection
0.17
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jackson Chourio (MIL) has averaged 0.21 stolen bases per game across 24 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.2 over the last 10. 17% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.17 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +410 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Jackson Chourio went over in 4 of 24 2026 games.

Our projection 0.17 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.33.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/2417%

Share of 2026 games Chourio finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.21

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (14)
0.21
Away (10)
0.20
Home edge
+0.01

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-05-04vs STL0Under
2026-05-06vs STL0Under
2026-05-08vs NYY0Under
2026-05-09vs NYY0Under
2026-05-10vs NYY0Under
2026-05-12vs SD0Under
2026-05-13vs SD1Over
2026-05-14vs SD0Under
2026-05-15vs MIN0Under
2026-05-16vs MIN0Under
2026-05-17vs MIN1Over
2026-05-18vs CHC1Over
2026-05-19vs CHC0Under
2026-05-20vs CHC0Under
2026-05-22vs LAD0Under
2026-05-23vs LAD0Under
2026-05-24vs LAD0Under
2026-05-25vs STL2Over
2026-05-26vs STL0Under
2026-05-27vs STL0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-06-01vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jackson Chourio’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.