2B · BAL
Jackson Holliday — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Jackson Holliday (BAL) sits at 0.67 hits per game through 12 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.8. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 42% of games this season. Our model projects 0.65, a step above the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 -108 at DraftKings — model 51% to hit, -1.8% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Jackson Holliday went over in 5 of 12 2026 games.
Our projection 0.65 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.15.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 5/12 | 42% |
| 1.5 | 3/12 | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0/12 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Holliday finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jackson Holliday’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.