CF · SD
Jackson Merrill — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Jackson Merrill (SD) has averaged 0.78 hits per game across 55 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.7 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 51% of games. We project 0.81, ahead of the 0.62 market line.
Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -135 at BetMGM — model 54% to hit, -5.1% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Jackson Merrill went over in 28 of 55 2026 games.
Our projection 0.81 vs market line 0.62 — edge +0.19.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 28/55 | 51% |
| 1.5 | 11/55 | 20% |
| 2.5 | 4/55 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Merrill finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BOS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SEA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jackson Merrill’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.