EdgeTake

CF · SD

Jackson Merrill — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
55
Total Bases
69
Per Game
1.25
Projection
1.4
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 55 games this season, Jackson Merrill (SD) is averaging 1.25 total bases per game, tracking close to that at 1.2 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 51% of those games. Our projection of 1.4 sits above the market line of 1.34.

Next matchup

Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -135 at BetMGM — model 58% to hit, +0.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -135 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +100 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Jackson Merrill went over in 28 of 55 2026 games.

Our projection 1.4 vs market line 1.34 — edge +0.06.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.528/5551%
1.519/5535%
2.511/5520%
3.57/5513%

Share of 2026 games Merrill finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.20
Season avg
1.25

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
1.27
Away (25)
1.24
Home edge
+0.03

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs DET0Under
2026-03-28vs DET3Over
2026-03-29vs DET0Under
2026-03-31vs SF4Over
2026-04-01vs SF1Over
2026-04-01vs SF1Over
2026-04-03vs BOS0Under
2026-04-05vs BOS6Over
2026-04-06vs PIT2Over
2026-04-07vs PIT0Under
2026-04-08vs PIT0Under
2026-04-10vs COL0Under
2026-04-11vs COL1Over
2026-04-12vs COL2Over
2026-04-12vs COL5Over
2026-04-15vs SEA4Over
2026-04-16vs SEA3Over
2026-04-17vs SEA2Over
2026-04-18vs LAA0Under
2026-04-19vs LAA0Under
2026-04-19vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs COL0Under
2026-04-23vs COL1Over
2026-04-23vs COL0Under
2026-04-25vs AZ0Under
2026-04-26vs AZ2Over
2026-04-28vs CHC1Over
2026-04-29vs CHC0Under
2026-04-29vs CHC0Under
2026-05-03vs CWS2Over
2026-05-03vs CWS1Over
2026-05-05vs SF5Over
2026-05-06vs SF4Over
2026-05-06vs SF2Over
2026-05-08vs STL0Under
2026-05-09vs STL1Over
2026-05-09vs STL0Under
2026-05-10vs STL1Over
2026-05-12vs MIL0Under
2026-05-13vs MIL0Under
2026-05-16vs SEA0Under
2026-05-16vs SEA0Under
2026-05-17vs SEA2Over
2026-05-19vs LAD0Under
2026-05-20vs LAD1Over
2026-05-21vs LAD0Under
2026-05-24vs ATH2Over
2026-05-24vs ATH0Under
2026-05-25vs PHI0Under
2026-05-27vs PHI0Under
2026-05-27vs PHI3Over
2026-05-29vs WSH4Over
2026-05-30vs WSH0Under
2026-05-31vs WSH3Over
2026-06-02vs PHI0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jackson Merrill’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.