EdgeTake

SS · ATH

Jacob Wilson — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Runs
18
Per Game
0.46
Projection
0.49
Current Line
Next matchup

Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.514/3936%
1.54/3910%

Share of 2026 games Wilson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.46

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home / away splits

Home (16)
0.63
Away (23)
0.35
Home edge
+0.28

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRuns
2026-03-27vs TOR0
2026-03-28vs TOR0
2026-03-29vs TOR1
2026-03-30vs ATL0
2026-03-31vs ATL0
2026-04-01vs ATL0
2026-04-04vs HOU1
2026-04-04vs HOU0
2026-04-05vs HOU0
2026-04-07vs NYY0
2026-04-08vs NYY0
2026-04-09vs NYY0
2026-04-10vs NYM1
2026-04-11vs NYM2
2026-04-14vs TEX0
2026-04-15vs TEX0
2026-04-16vs TEX1
2026-04-16vs TEX1
2026-04-18vs CWS0
2026-04-18vs CWS2
2026-04-19vs CWS0
2026-04-21vs SEA1
2026-04-22vs SEA0
2026-04-22vs SEA0
2026-04-25vs TEX0
2026-04-25vs TEX1
2026-04-26vs TEX0
2026-04-29vs KC0
2026-04-30vs KC2
2026-04-30vs KC2
2026-05-02vs CLE1
2026-05-02vs CLE0
2026-05-03vs CLE0
2026-05-05vs PHI0
2026-05-06vs PHI0
2026-05-07vs PHI1
2026-05-08vs BAL1
2026-05-09vs BAL0
2026-05-10vs BAL0

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jacob Wilson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.