EdgeTake

DH · DET

Jahmai Jones — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
42
Home Runs
2
Per Game
0.05
Projection
0.13
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jahmai Jones (DET) has averaged 0.05 home runs per game across 42 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 5% of games. Our projection of 0.13 comes in under the market line of 1.05.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +525 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jahmai Jones went over in 2 of 42 2026 games.

Our projection 0.13 vs market line 1.05 — edge -0.92.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/425%

Share of 2026 games Jones finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.05

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (16)
0.06
Away (26)
0.04
Home edge
+0.02

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-28vs SD0Under
2026-03-29vs SD0Under
2026-04-05vs STL0Under
2026-04-06vs MIN0Under
2026-04-07vs MIN0Under
2026-04-08vs MIN0Under
2026-04-16vs KC0Under
2026-04-17vs BOS0Under
2026-04-19vs BOS1Over
2026-04-20vs BOS0Under
2026-04-21vs MIL0Under
2026-04-22vs MIL0Under
2026-04-23vs MIL1Over
2026-04-24vs CIN0Under
2026-04-25vs CIN0Under
2026-04-26vs CIN0Under
2026-04-28vs ATL0Under
2026-04-29vs ATL0Under
2026-04-30vs ATL0Under
2026-05-01vs TEX0Under
2026-05-04vs BOS0Under
2026-05-05vs BOS0Under
2026-05-06vs BOS0Under
2026-05-08vs KC0Under
2026-05-10vs KC0Under
2026-05-12vs NYM0Under
2026-05-13vs NYM0Under
2026-05-15vs TOR0Under
2026-05-17vs TOR0Under
2026-05-19vs CLE0Under
2026-05-21vs CLE0Under
2026-05-22vs BAL0Under
2026-05-23vs BAL0Under
2026-05-24vs BAL0Under
2026-05-26vs LAA0Under
2026-05-27vs LAA0Under
2026-05-28vs LAA0Under
2026-05-29vs CWS0Under
2026-05-30vs CWS0Under
2026-05-31vs CWS0Under
2026-06-01vs TB0Under
2026-06-02vs TB0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jahmai Jones’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.