EdgeTake

1B · MIL

Jake Bauers — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
51
Total Bases
90
Per Game
1.76
Projection
1.97
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 51 games this season, Jake Bauers (MIL) is averaging 1.76 total bases per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 1.6. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 67% of games this season. We project 1.97, ahead of the 0.92 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -162 at Caesars — model 64% to hit, +3.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -162 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +121 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jake Bauers went over in 34 of 51 2026 games.

Our projection 1.97 vs market line 0.92 — edge +1.05.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.534/5167%
1.523/5145%
2.516/5131%
3.511/5122%

Share of 2026 games Bauers finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.60
Season avg
1.76

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (28)
2.04
Away (23)
1.43
Home edge
+0.60

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs CWS5Over
2026-03-28vs CWS1Over
2026-03-29vs CWS0Under
2026-03-30vs TB1Over
2026-03-31vs TB5Over
2026-04-01vs TB0Under
2026-04-03vs KC0Under
2026-04-04vs KC0Under
2026-04-05vs KC2Over
2026-04-06vs BOS0Under
2026-04-08vs BOS0Under
2026-04-10vs WSH5Over
2026-04-11vs WSH0Under
2026-04-12vs WSH5Over
2026-04-14vs TOR4Over
2026-04-15vs TOR0Under
2026-04-16vs TOR0Under
2026-04-17vs MIA3Over
2026-04-18vs MIA0Under
2026-04-19vs MIA0Under
2026-04-21vs DET3Over
2026-04-22vs DET1Over
2026-04-24vs PIT1Over
2026-04-25vs PIT2Over
2026-04-26vs PIT4Over
2026-04-28vs AZ1Over
2026-04-29vs AZ2Over
2026-04-30vs AZ1Over
2026-05-01vs WSH0Under
2026-05-02vs WSH0Under
2026-05-03vs WSH1Over
2026-05-04vs STL2Over
2026-05-06vs STL2Over
2026-05-09vs NYY4Over
2026-05-12vs SD3Over
2026-05-13vs SD2Over
2026-05-15vs MIN3Over
2026-05-17vs MIN3Over
2026-05-18vs CHC5Over
2026-05-19vs CHC2Over
2026-05-20vs CHC1Over
2026-05-22vs LAD1Over
2026-05-23vs LAD0Under
2026-05-24vs LAD1Over
2026-05-26vs STL5Over
2026-05-27vs STL0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU1Over
2026-05-31vs HOU4Over
2026-06-01vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs SF4Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake Bauers’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.