EdgeTake

1B · TEX

Jake Burger — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Total Bases
94
Per Game
1.59
Projection
1.69
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 59 games this season, Jake Burger (TEX) is averaging 1.59 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 1.4. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 37% of games this season. Our projection of 1.69 sits above the market line of 1.39.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -162 at Caesars — model 58% to hit, -5.8% EV.

Over 1.5 +123 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -162 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Jake Burger went over in 22 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 1.69 vs market line 1.39 — edge +0.3.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.535/5959%
1.522/5937%
2.516/5927%
3.510/5917%

Share of 2026 games Burger finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.40
Season avg
1.59

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
1.12
Away (33)
1.97
Home edge
-0.85

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs PHI6Over
2026-03-28vs PHI5Over
2026-03-29vs PHI1Under
2026-03-30vs BAL3Over
2026-03-31vs BAL1Under
2026-04-01vs BAL0Under
2026-04-03vs CIN2Over
2026-04-04vs CIN1Under
2026-04-05vs CIN2Over
2026-04-07vs SEA2Over
2026-04-08vs SEA0Under
2026-04-08vs SEA0Under
2026-04-11vs LAD0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-12vs LAD1Under
2026-04-14vs ATH8Over
2026-04-15vs ATH1Under
2026-04-16vs ATH4Over
2026-04-16vs ATH1Under
2026-04-18vs SEA3Over
2026-04-18vs SEA0Under
2026-04-19vs SEA0Under
2026-04-22vs PIT1Under
2026-04-23vs PIT1Under
2026-04-24vs PIT0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-26vs ATH1Under
2026-04-28vs NYY1Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-05-01vs DET3Over
2026-05-02vs DET4Over
2026-05-03vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs NYY0Under
2026-05-06vs NYY2Over
2026-05-07vs NYY0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-12vs AZ0Under
2026-05-13vs AZ3Over
2026-05-14vs AZ5Over
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU1Under
2026-05-17vs HOU6Over
2026-05-19vs COL1Under
2026-05-20vs COL3Over
2026-05-20vs COL5Over
2026-05-23vs LAA2Over
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-24vs LAA4Over
2026-05-25vs HOU0Under
2026-05-27vs HOU1Under
2026-05-28vs HOU0Under
2026-05-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs KC3Over
2026-05-30vs KC4Over
2026-05-31vs KC2Over
2026-06-01vs STL0Under
2026-06-02vs STL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake Burger’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.