EdgeTake

RF · TB

Jake Fraley — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
28
Runs
6
Per Game
0.21
Projection
0.4
Current Line
Next matchup

Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/2821%
1.50/280%

Share of 2026 games Fraley finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.21

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home / away splits

Home (13)
0.23
Away (15)
0.20
Home edge
+0.03

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRuns
2026-03-26vs STL0
2026-03-28vs STL0
2026-03-31vs MIL0
2026-04-01vs MIL0
2026-04-03vs MIN1
2026-04-04vs MIN0
2026-04-05vs MIN0
2026-04-06vs CHC0
2026-04-07vs CHC0
2026-04-08vs CHC0
2026-04-12vs NYY1
2026-04-15vs CWS1
2026-04-16vs CWS0
2026-04-17vs PIT0
2026-04-18vs PIT0
2026-04-20vs CIN0
2026-04-21vs CIN0
2026-04-25vs MIN1
2026-04-26vs MIN0
2026-04-28vs CLE0
2026-04-29vs CLE0
2026-05-01vs SF0
2026-05-02vs SF0
2026-05-03vs SF0
2026-05-05vs TOR1
2026-05-11vs TOR1
2026-05-13vs TOR0
2026-05-15vs MIA0

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake Fraley’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.