EdgeTake

LF · PIT

Jake Mangum — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
38
Hits
32
Per Game
0.84
Projection
0.91
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Jake Mangum (PIT) has averaged 0.84 hits per game across 38 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 1.3 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 50% of games. Our projection of 0.91 sits above the market line of 0.67.

Next matchup

Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +140 at BetMGM — model 40% to hit, -5.0% EV.

Over 0.5 -190 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +140 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Jake Mangum went over in 19 of 38 2026 games.

Our projection 0.91 vs market line 0.67 — edge +0.24.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.519/3850%
1.59/3824%
2.53/388%

Share of 2026 games Mangum finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.30
Season avg
0.84

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
0.86
Away (16)
0.81
Home edge
+0.05

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-28vs NYM2Over
2026-03-29vs NYM0Under
2026-03-31vs CIN1Over
2026-04-01vs CIN0Under
2026-04-04vs BAL0Under
2026-04-05vs BAL2Over
2026-04-06vs SD0Under
2026-04-07vs SD1Over
2026-04-08vs SD0Under
2026-04-11vs CHC0Under
2026-04-13vs WSH1Over
2026-04-14vs WSH1Over
2026-04-16vs WSH3Over
2026-04-18vs TB0Under
2026-04-19vs TB2Over
2026-04-22vs TEX2Over
2026-04-23vs TEX0Under
2026-04-25vs MIL0Under
2026-04-26vs MIL0Under
2026-04-27vs STL2Over
2026-04-28vs STL1Over
2026-04-29vs STL0Under
2026-04-30vs STL1Over
2026-05-02vs CIN0Under
2026-05-03vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs AZ0Under
2026-05-17vs PHI0Under
2026-05-19vs STL0Under
2026-05-20vs STL2Over
2026-05-21vs STL1Over
2026-05-22vs TOR0Under
2026-05-24vs TOR1Over
2026-05-26vs CHC0Under
2026-05-28vs CHC1Over
2026-05-29vs MIN0Under
2026-05-30vs MIN3Over
2026-05-31vs MIN1Over
2026-06-03vs HOU4Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake Mangum’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.