LF · PIT
Jake Mangum — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 38 games this season, Jake Mangum (PIT) is averaging 0.45 runs per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.4. The over on 0.5 has hit in 34% of games. Our projection of 0.34 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Jake Mangum went over in 13 of 38 2026 games.
Our projection 0.34 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.16.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 13/38 | 34% |
| 1.5 | 4/38 | 11% |
Share of 2026 games Mangum finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake Mangum’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.