EdgeTake

CF · COL

Jake McCarthy — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
48
Total Bases
72
Per Game
1.50
Projection
1.67
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 48 games this season, Jake McCarthy (COL) is averaging 1.5 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 2.2. They've gone over 1.5 in 44% of those games. Our projection of 1.67 sits above the market line of 1.48.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +155 at BetRivers — model 39% to hit, -0.4% EV.

Over 1.5 +155 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -200 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Jake McCarthy went over in 21 of 48 2026 games.

Our projection 1.67 vs market line 1.48 — edge +0.19.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.530/4863%
1.521/4844%
2.59/4819%
3.56/4813%

Share of 2026 games McCarthy finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.20
Season avg
1.50

Over 1.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (21)
1.86
Away (27)
1.22
Home edge
+0.63

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs MIA1Under
2026-03-28vs MIA0Under
2026-03-29vs MIA0Under
2026-03-30vs TOR0Under
2026-03-31vs TOR2Over
2026-04-03vs PHI0Under
2026-04-05vs PHI2Over
2026-04-07vs HOU0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU0Under
2026-04-10vs SD1Under
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-15vs HOU4Over
2026-04-16vs HOU1Under
2026-04-18vs LAD0Under
2026-04-19vs LAD2Over
2026-04-23vs SD2Over
2026-04-23vs SD2Over
2026-04-24vs NYM2Over
2026-04-26vs NYM2Over
2026-04-28vs CIN1Under
2026-04-30vs CIN0Under
2026-05-02vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL3Over
2026-05-06vs NYM6Over
2026-05-07vs NYM4Over
2026-05-08vs PHI1Under
2026-05-09vs PHI1Under
2026-05-10vs PHI1Under
2026-05-12vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs PIT2Over
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ2Over
2026-05-17vs AZ2Over
2026-05-19vs TEX1Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX4Over
2026-05-22vs AZ1Under
2026-05-23vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ2Over
2026-05-26vs LAD0Under
2026-05-27vs LAD2Over
2026-05-28vs LAD0Under
2026-05-30vs SF3Over
2026-05-31vs SF6Over
2026-05-31vs SF0Under
2026-06-02vs LAA6Over
2026-06-03vs LAA3Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake McCarthy’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.