C · DET
Jake Rogers — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Jake Rogers (DET) has averaged 0.39 hits per game across 18 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.4 over the last 10. 33% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.44 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 -107 at DraftKings — model 58% to hit, +11.5% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Jake Rogers went over in 6 of 18 2026 games.
Our projection 0.44 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.06.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 6/18 | 33% |
| 1.5 | 1/18 | 6% |
| 2.5 | 0/18 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Rogers finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake Rogers’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.