EdgeTake

C · DET

Jake Rogers — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
18
Home Runs
0
Per Game
0.00
Projection
0.07
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 18 games this season, Jake Rogers (DET) is averaging 0 home runs per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 0% of games. We project 0.07, short of the 1 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +575 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jake Rogers went over in 0 of 18 2026 games.

Our projection 0.07 vs market line 1 — edge -0.93.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.50/180%

Share of 2026 games Rogers finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.00

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (6)
0.00
Away (12)
0.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-29vs SD0Under
2026-04-01vs AZ0Under
2026-04-06vs MIN0Under
2026-04-09vs MIN0Under
2026-04-15vs KC0Under
2026-04-18vs BOS0Under
2026-04-20vs BOS0Under
2026-04-22vs MIL0Under
2026-04-26vs CIN0Under
2026-04-30vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs TEX0Under
2026-05-09vs KC0Under
2026-05-14vs NYM0Under
2026-05-16vs TOR0Under
2026-05-20vs CLE0Under
2026-05-24vs BAL0Under
2026-05-28vs LAA0Under
2026-05-31vs CWS0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake Rogers’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.