C · DET
Jake Rogers — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 18 games this season, Jake Rogers (DET) is averaging 0.61 total bases per game, tracking close to that at 0.6 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 33% of games. Our model projects 0.87, a step above the market line of 0.83.
Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 +102 at Caesars — model 48% to hit, -3.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Jake Rogers went over in 6 of 18 2026 games.
Our projection 0.87 vs market line 0.83 — edge +0.04.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 6/18 | 33% |
| 1.5 | 3/18 | 17% |
| 2.5 | 1/18 | 6% |
| 3.5 | 1/18 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Rogers finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TEX | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jake Rogers’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.