EdgeTake

CF · MIA

Jakob Marsee — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Hits
42
Per Game
0.70
Projection
0.64
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 60 games this season, Jakob Marsee (MIA) is averaging 0.7 hits per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.6. They've gone over 0.5 in 47% of those games. Our model projects 0.64, below the market line of 0.71.

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -200 at BetMGM — model 56% to hit, -16.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -200 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +164 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Jakob Marsee went over in 28 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 0.64 vs market line 0.71 — edge -0.07.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.528/6047%
1.511/6018%
2.53/605%

Share of 2026 games Marsee finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.70

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.61
Away (29)
0.79
Home edge
-0.18

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs COL1Over
2026-03-28vs COL0Under
2026-03-29vs COL0Under
2026-03-30vs CWS2Over
2026-03-31vs CWS0Under
2026-04-01vs CWS0Under
2026-04-03vs NYY0Under
2026-04-04vs NYY1Over
2026-04-05vs NYY0Under
2026-04-06vs CIN0Under
2026-04-07vs CIN2Over
2026-04-08vs CIN2Over
2026-04-09vs CIN0Under
2026-04-10vs DET0Under
2026-04-11vs DET0Under
2026-04-12vs DET1Over
2026-04-13vs ATL1Over
2026-04-14vs ATL2Over
2026-04-15vs ATL0Under
2026-04-17vs MIL0Under
2026-04-18vs MIL1Over
2026-04-19vs MIL0Under
2026-04-20vs STL0Under
2026-04-21vs STL3Over
2026-04-22vs STL1Over
2026-04-25vs SF1Over
2026-04-25vs SF1Over
2026-04-26vs SF0Under
2026-04-28vs LAD2Over
2026-04-29vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD0Under
2026-05-01vs PHI1Over
2026-05-02vs PHI0Under
2026-05-04vs PHI2Over
2026-05-05vs BAL0Under
2026-05-06vs BAL1Over
2026-05-07vs BAL0Under
2026-05-08vs WSH0Under
2026-05-09vs WSH1Over
2026-05-10vs WSH1Over
2026-05-12vs MIN1Over
2026-05-13vs MIN0Under
2026-05-14vs MIN0Under
2026-05-15vs TB3Over
2026-05-16vs TB3Over
2026-05-17vs TB2Over
2026-05-18vs ATL0Under
2026-05-19vs ATL0Under
2026-05-21vs ATL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYM0Under
2026-05-23vs NYM0Under
2026-05-24vs NYM1Over
2026-05-25vs TOR0Under
2026-05-26vs TOR1Over
2026-05-27vs TOR0Under
2026-05-29vs NYM2Over
2026-05-30vs NYM1Over
2026-05-31vs NYM0Under
2026-06-01vs WSH0Under
2026-06-02vs WSH1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jakob Marsee’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.