EdgeTake

CF · MIA

Jakob Marsee — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.05
Projection
0.07
Current Line
2.5
Outlook

Jakob Marsee (MIA) sits at 0.05 home runs per game through 60 games, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. That 2.5 line has been cleared in 0% of games this season. Our projection of 0.07 comes in under the market line of 1.35.

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +700 Caesars

At a line of 2.5 (betrivers), Jakob Marsee went over in 0 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 0.07 vs market line 1.35 — edge -1.28.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/605%

Share of 2026 games Marsee finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.05

Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.06
Away (29)
0.03
Home edge
+0.03

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-27vs COL0Under
2026-03-28vs COL0Under
2026-03-29vs COL0Under
2026-03-30vs CWS0Under
2026-03-31vs CWS0Under
2026-04-01vs CWS0Under
2026-04-03vs NYY0Under
2026-04-04vs NYY0Under
2026-04-05vs NYY0Under
2026-04-06vs CIN0Under
2026-04-07vs CIN0Under
2026-04-08vs CIN0Under
2026-04-09vs CIN0Under
2026-04-10vs DET0Under
2026-04-11vs DET0Under
2026-04-12vs DET0Under
2026-04-13vs ATL0Under
2026-04-14vs ATL0Under
2026-04-15vs ATL0Under
2026-04-17vs MIL0Under
2026-04-18vs MIL0Under
2026-04-19vs MIL0Under
2026-04-20vs STL0Under
2026-04-21vs STL1Under
2026-04-22vs STL0Under
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-26vs SF0Under
2026-04-28vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD0Under
2026-05-01vs PHI0Under
2026-05-02vs PHI0Under
2026-05-04vs PHI0Under
2026-05-05vs BAL0Under
2026-05-06vs BAL0Under
2026-05-07vs BAL0Under
2026-05-08vs WSH0Under
2026-05-09vs WSH1Under
2026-05-10vs WSH0Under
2026-05-12vs MIN0Under
2026-05-13vs MIN0Under
2026-05-14vs MIN0Under
2026-05-15vs TB1Under
2026-05-16vs TB0Under
2026-05-17vs TB0Under
2026-05-18vs ATL0Under
2026-05-19vs ATL0Under
2026-05-21vs ATL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYM0Under
2026-05-23vs NYM0Under
2026-05-24vs NYM0Under
2026-05-25vs TOR0Under
2026-05-26vs TOR0Under
2026-05-27vs TOR0Under
2026-05-29vs NYM0Under
2026-05-30vs NYM0Under
2026-05-31vs NYM0Under
2026-06-01vs WSH0Under
2026-06-02vs WSH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jakob Marsee’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.